Category: Monte Carlo simulation
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A Glimpse at Morningstar Direct’s Asset Allocation Tool Enhancements
As a Chicagoan I spent much of my professional career with peripheral awareness of Morningstar, but not too much first-hand familiarity. Since the firm began as a mere collator of publicly available data on mutual funds Morningstar has come a long way and so has my appreciation of its offerings. These days I rely…
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Why Use Monte Carlo Simulations? To Guard Against Tunnel Vision
Sam Savage, author of “The Flaw of Averages,” is a missionary for making business decisions using probability distributions instead of point estimates. I’m an avid disciple, which might surprise some who read the previous post. The earlier post, “Modeling Expected Returns: The Future Is Not What It Used to Be” described a formula derived…